人力资本对我国对外直接投资逆向技术溢出效应的影响——基于省际面板数据的非线性门槛回归技术  

The Effects of Human Capital on Reverse Technology Spillovers of China's Outward FDI——Based on Nonlinear Threshold Panel Model Using Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：张宏[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]山东英才学院 [2]山东大学经济学院

出　　处：《亚太经济》2012年第4期115-120,共6页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"新形势下我国对外直接投资的机遇;挑战与对策研究--基于全球价值链的视角"(批准号08BGJ015)

摘　　要：本文使用中国30个省份2003-2008年的面板数据,研究了不同人力资本水平下对外直接投资的逆向技术溢出对各地区全要素生产率的影响。实证结果说明:它们之间存在显著的人力资本双门槛效应。只有在人力资本跨越了10.5038这一门槛时对外直接投资逆向技术溢出效应才显著存在,未跨越这一门槛值的省份,人力资本对对外直接投资逆向技术溢出效应的吸收有负面影响;而人力资本跨越50.4804的少数省份,对外直接投资渠道的逆向技术溢出对全要素生产率的正面影响略低。This paper makes use of the panel data of thirty provinces in China from 2003 to 2008, establish the regression model referring to the LP Model , and applies the nonlinear threshold panel model , in order to analyze the influence that the R＆D spillovers from OFDI make on the total factor productivity under different level of human capital. The outcomes suggest that there is significant double threshold effect between R＆D spillovers from OFD[ and TFP , unless the human capital reach the threshold of 10. 5038 OFDI has significant reverse technology spillovers and the human capital under the threshold has negative effect on the absorption of the OFDI reverse technology spillovers ; as to some provinces with human capital over 50. 4804, reverse technology spillovers of OFDI make lower positive impacts on the total factor productivity.

关 键 词：对外直接投资 门槛效应 DEA 人力资本 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]