我国区域能源效率指数分析与展望  

China's regional energy efficiency index analysis and forecasting

作　　者：王科[1,2] 魏一鸣[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学管理与经济学院,北京100081 [2]北京理工大学能源与环境政策研究中心,北京100081

出　　处：《中国科学院院刊》2012年第4期493-501,共9页Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71101011;71020107026);博士后基金项目(20110490298);973课题(2012CB95570001)的部分支持

摘　　要：我国经济的快速增长伴随着能源利用效率偏低、碳排放量快速上升的压力,对能源效率的合理测度和全面分析,是认清我国当前经济发展、能源使用和二氧化碳排放综合效益情况的重要环节。本文根据我国"九五"以来的区域经济社会发展、能源消费和二氧化碳排放数据,采用全要素能源环境效率评估模型,测度1997—2009年间我国30个省区市的全要素能源效率,构建不同维度的能源效率指数,对我国东中西部地区以及各省区市的能源效率差异情况、波动情况、均衡情况和贡献情况进行分析和比较,并对"十二五"时期的能源效率情况进行展望。China＇s rapid economic growth was accompanied by low energy utilization efficiency and rapid increase of CO2 emissions.A reasonable measure and comprehensive analysis of China＇s regional energy efficiency is quite essential for characterizing the current economic development,energy consumption and CO2 emissions in China.By applying a total-factor energy and environment performance evaluation method,this paper measured the energy efficiency of China＇s 30 regions for the period of 1997-2009.Several energy efficiency indexes were further constructed so as to comparatively analyze the states of variance,fluctuation,balance and contribution of China＇s energy efficiency.The expected energy efficiency in 2015 was forecasted at the end of this paper.

关 键 词：能源消费 碳排放 效率评估 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F426.2F206