换一种视角看我国人口数量与生育政策  

Through Another Perspective to Reflect China's Population Quantity and Fertility Policy

作　　者：周长洪[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京人口管理干部学院公共管理系,江苏南京210042

出　　处：《南京人口管理干部学院学报》2012年第3期3-8,共6页Journal of Nanjing College for Population Programme Management

摘　　要：从公共政策视角重新审视和思考人口数量和人口政策问题,认为:人口数量多少是一个相对于经济社会发展水平的问题,简单地从人均资源占有量和人均经济水平论证人口多是问题,折射出的是"人口数量决定论";看不到长期低生育率所蕴含的人口未来发展的不良后果,把目前人口惯性增长说成"势头强劲",是违背人口发展规律的;仅从人口数据出发决定微观家庭生育政策,是公共政策制定中典型的见数不见人的"技术主义"倾向,不符合现代社会公共政策制定的理念与程序;当市场经济体制和民主法治国家被确定为发展目标之后,公民生育权利就是不容忽视的问题,那种为国家利益牺牲个人和家庭利益的说辞丧失了逻辑的合理性。The paper reviews and reconsiders,through the perspective of public policy,the problems involving population quantity and population policy.The author holds the following viewpoints： With the population quantity being relative to the development level of a economic society,the conclusion that an excessive population is a problem refracts the ＂population quantity determinism＂ when it is simply drawn according to per capita possession of resources and per person economic level;It is against the law of population development to ignore the negative effect done by the long-term low fertility rate on the future population development,and to consider the current population inertia increase as ＂a strong tendency＂;Deciding a fertility policy for individual families only by demographic data is the typical quantity-based inclination of ＂technologism＂ in public policy making,which is incompatible with the concept and program of the modern social public policy making;When the market economic system and democratic nomocracy are identified as the goals,the citizens＇ reproductive rights should not be ignored,and the theory of sacrificing personal and families＇ interests to meet the state need has lost its logical rationality.

关 键 词：计划生育 生育政策 公共政策 人口数量 人口惯性增长 生育权利 

分 类 号：C924.21[社会学—人口学]