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机构地区:[1]江西农业大学经贸学院,江西南昌330015 [2]江西财经大学鄱阳湖生态经济研究院,江西南昌330013
出 处:《江西财经大学学报》2012年第4期71-78,共8页Journal of Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics
基 金:教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目(NCET-10-0182);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(10YJC630136);国家自然科学基金项目(71173095);国家自然科学青年基金项目(71103076)
摘 要:通过对农户参与林业合作组织意愿进行博弈分析,并利用logi st i c模型对影响林农的各个因素进行回归分析。结果表明,户主年龄、劳动力、林地面积、有无林权证、以林业收入为主、林业收入占总收入的比重、林地投入资金来源、全年投入林木资金情况、林改后林地经营方式、林地的看护难易程度、有无林业合作组织机构、是否希望有专业人员管护、政府是否已设立相关技术服务机构、政策的稳定性、政策的合理性等指标存在不同方向和程度的影响。This paper conducts a game analysis of the willingness of farmers to join in the forestry cooperation organizations and a regression analysis of each factor affecting the willingness of farmers by using the logistic model. The results show that the following factors have some influences on the directions and degrees of willingness: the age of householder, labor force, forest area, with or without forest ownership, whether taking the forestry income as the principal income, the proportion of forestry income in the total income, the main sources of woodland investment, yearly investment funds to forestry, woodland management methods after forestry property rights reform, the degree of difficulty in maintaining the woodland, with or without forestry cooperation organizations, whether hoping to have professionals to tend woods, whether the Government having set up related technical service organizations, the stability of forest policy, the rationality of policy, and so on.
关 键 词:农户意愿 林业合作组织 博弈行为 LOGISTIC模型
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