我国天然气供需趋势及对策建议  

Analysis of natural gas demand and supply in china

作　　者：李秀慧[1,2] 于汶加[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(北京),北京100083 [2]中国地质科学院矿产资源研究所,北京100037

出　　处：《中国矿业》2012年第8期5-8,15,共5页China Mining Magazine

基　　金："中国能源安全与低碳经济战略研究"项目资助(编号:N1102)

摘　　要：本来分析了我国天然气近20年的供需状况-供需两旺,但供应缺口逐年变大。通过对未来20年中国天然气供需趋势的展望,认为未来20年中国天然气将供不应求,缺口将继续扩大,对外依存度不断上升。为了保障我国的天然气供需平衡,本文针对目前我国天然气发展中存在的问题,如定价方法不科学、基础设施建设滞后、天然气消费结构不合理等,提出了深化价格改革、加强基础设施建设、调整天然气消费结构、通过"两个市场"扩大供应量等对策建议。In this paper, we analyzed the natural gas supply and demand in China in the past 20 years. Compared the forecasts of some relevant organizations, we conclude that demand will exceed supply in 20 years and the gap between the supply and demand will be bigger and bigger. But the unreasonable price formation mechanism, the weak infrastructure, the unreasonable consumption structure are the bumps in the road to develop gas industry in China. To ensure the balance of supply and demand, we propose some suggestions about reformation of the price formation mechanism, infrastructure construction, regulation of the gas consumption structure and expansion of supply.

关 键 词：天然气供需 基础设施 消费结构 价格形成机制改革 

分 类 号：F407.22[经济管理—产业经济]