基于模糊综合评判的郑州城市生态化水平动态评价  

Dynamic Evaluation of Ecological Level of Zhengzhou City Based on the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

作　　者：耿鹏旭[1] 钱宏胜[1] 阎志强[1] 

机构地区：[1]平顶山学院资源与环境科学学院,河南平顶山467000

出　　处：《信阳师范学院学报（自然科学版）》2012年第3期319-323,332,共6页Journal of Xinyang Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：河南省科技攻关项目(102102110137);平顶山学院省级特色专业资源环境与城乡规划管理专业资助项目

摘　　要：在生态城市评价综述的基础上,构建城市生态化水平评价指标体系,运用模糊综合评判法对郑州市2005—2009年城市生态化水平进行动态评价,运用回归分析法建立预测模型,并对其趋势进行了预测.结果表明:城市生态化水平影响因素复杂,"十一五"期间郑州市生态化水平整体层次不高,但生态化建设效果明显,2007年是郑州城市生态化水平提升的重要的转折点,且呈良好趋势发展,预测到2015年生态化生平将超过82.5,达到"较好"等级水平.The index system of evaluating ecological level of city was established based on comprehensive analysis of ecological city. The ecological level of Zhengzhou city from 2005 to 2009 was evaluated by using fuzzy comprehen- sive method. The forecast model was established and the trend of ecological level from 2010 to 2015 was predicted by using regression analysis. The results showed that the overall ecological level of Zhengzhou city was not high during the eleventh five-year plan, meanwhile Zhengzhou city achieved a lot of success in the ecological construction. The results indicated that the development trend of the ecological level of Zhengzhou city would become better and better.

关 键 词：生态城市 层次分析法 模糊综合评价 郑州市 

分 类 号：K901.8[历史地理—人文地理学]