气象因素与儿童气管炎关系的研究  

A Study of the Relations between Childen Tracheitis and Weather Information

作　　者：孙玉姣[1] 李秀珍[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京航空航天大学数学与系统科学学院,北京100191 [2]山东建筑大学理学院,山东济南250101

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2012年第15期214-218,共5页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：山东省高等学校教学改革研究项目(项目号2009262);山东省高等学校教学改革教学研究项目(2009044)

摘　　要：利用济南市卫生局提供的2003年儿童气管炎患者的病例资料和济南市气象局提供的2003年气象资料,对济南地区儿童气管炎疾病与气象资料的关系进行研究.通过相关性分析,用多元回归方法建立了儿童气管炎发病人数的日预报方程.然后对数据进行处理,按季节建立了儿童气管炎与气象要素之间的日预报方程.By using statistics of children tracheitis provided by Jinan Health Bureau and meteorological data provided by Jinan Meteorological Bureau, we study the relations between children tracheitis and weather conditions in Jinan area. Firstly, we use multiple-regression to establish the one-day-forecast regression equation on the relations between multiple meteorological factors and the Cases of children tracheitis. Secondly, by using 3d data smoothing and standardization and demarcating four seasons from the climatic point, we establish the so called Daily Forecasting Equation on the relations between children tracheitis cases and meteorological elements with multi-level regression.

关 键 词：儿童气管炎 气象资料 预报方程 数学模型 

分 类 号：R725.6[医药卫生—儿科]