大用户负荷预测管理系统  

Load forecasting management system about large consumer

作　　者：蔡剑彪[1] 罗滇生[1] 周小宝[1] 钱松林[1] 周洁[1] 许甜田[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学电气与信息工程学院,长沙410082

出　　处：《电力需求侧管理》2012年第4期7-10,24,共5页Power Demand Side Management

摘　　要：为了提高地区短期负荷预测水平,掌握地区典型大用户的负荷特点,有必要建立一套系统、全面的地区大用户负荷分析预测管理系统。系统采用成熟的Java2Enterprise Edition(J2EE)多层体系Browser/Server(B/S)结构,以负荷特性分析为基础,精细化的预测流程为核心,考虑与大用户相关的气象要素、生产计划、日类型等因素,形成了大用户"分析、预测、管理"一体化机制。系统给负荷预测部门提供了详细的大用户特性报告。将大用户负荷预测结果融入到地区负荷预测中,提高了地区预测精度。In order to improve the level of shorl-term regional load forecasting, to master the characteristic of regional representative large consumer, it is necessary to establish a systematic and comprehensive regional representative large consumer load analysis forecasting management system. The system adopts mature Java 2 Enterprise Edition （J2EE） and multi-layer system of Browser/ Server （B/S） structure. It takes load characteristic analysis as a basis and the elaborate load forecasting process as a core. Considering the relative factors, such as meteorological element, production plan, day type and so on, we bring out large consumer integration mechanism of analysis, forecast and management. Finally, it provides a detailed large consumer characteristic report for load torecasting department. The result of large consumer load forecasting will be employed in regional load forecasting, which will greatly improve the accuracy of regional forecasting.

关 键 词：典型大用户 短期负荷预测 气象要素 负荷分析报告 系统设计 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化] F407.61[经济管理—产业经济]