中国电子与通讯产品的出口增长效应——基于“入世”、经济危机的三阶段分析  

The Exportation Growth Effect of China's Electrical Products and Industrial Communication Devices——A Comparative Analysis Based on China's Joining the WTO and the Economic Crisis

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作  者:张婷婷[1,2] 王三兴[1] 

机构地区:[1]安徽大学经济学院,安徽合肥230601 [2]皖西学院经济与管理学院,安徽六安237012

出  处:《皖西学院学报》2012年第2期103-106,共4页Journal of West Anhui University

摘  要:利用CMS模型分析中国电子及通讯产品自1998-2010年的出口增长源泉的结果表明:竞争力因素是中国电子及通讯产品出口增长的主要因素,尤其表现在经济危机后,而需求因素的作用不断下降,结构因素的作用始终未负值。最终结果表明中国电子及通讯产品的出口增长是建立在廉价劳动力基础上的粗放扩张,提升竞争力,转变发展内涵才是促进增长的关键。By using Constant Market Shares model,the article analyzes the causes of China's Electrical products and Industrial Communication Devices exportation growth effect and their changes,which indicates that its major growth lies in the competitive power of the products,especially after the economic crisis.And the demanding factor's contribution continues to decrease.As the aspect of structural factor,its contribution to exportation is always insignificant and it becomes negative after the economic crisis.The result of above analysis indicates that the expansion of China's Electrical products and Industrial Communication Devices is a kind of extensive expansion on the basis of low-priced labor-power.The final analysis shows that it is vital for the promotion of exportation growth to improve the competitiveness of the products and change the mode of development.

关 键 词:CMS模型 电子与通讯产品 出口增长 

分 类 号:F752[经济管理—国际贸易]

 

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