市场边缘、价格波动与城乡差距或然性:基于工业品与农产品比较  

Market Margin,Price Fluctuation,Urban-rural Income Gap:Based on Comparing Industrial Products and Agricultural Products

作　　者：陈有华[1] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学产业经济研究院,广东广州510632

出　　处：《改革》2012年第7期26-33,共8页Reform

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大攻关项目"应对国际资源环境变化挑战与加快我国经济发展方式转变研究--基于政府规制视角"(批准号:09&ZD021);教育部人文社会科学研究基金项目"基于博弈论的企业承诺研究"(批准号:09YJA790086)

摘　　要：以发展经济学的理论观点为基础,从理论和实证两方面分析工业品价格波动与农产品价格波动之间的关系,研究发现:农业生产的市场边缘性导致了农业的弱势地位。工业品价格波动是农产品价格波动的原因,工业品价格波动通过加速作用放大农产品价格波动,与此同时,农产品价格波动滞后于工业品且具有向下非对称性。这一结论说明工业化导致城乡收入差距的不断扩大和农业弱势地位的增强。Based on the theory of development economics, the author analyzes the relationship between industrial products price fluctuation and that of agricultural products from both theoretical and empirical. The study finds that market marginal of agricultural production has led to the weak position of agriculture. Price fluctuation of industrial products induces, and amplifies the price fluctuation of agricultural products. Furthermore, the price fluctuation of agricultural products lags behind industrial products price fluctuation and has a downward asymmetry. These conclusions illustrate that industrialization leads to urban-rural income gap and enhanced agricultural weak position.

关 键 词：工业品 农产品 物价指数 城乡收入差距 

分 类 号：F724.743[经济管理—产业经济]