我国生猪市场风险的主要特征和危害及政策建议  

Characteristic and Hazard Analysis of Market Risks of Live Pigs and Countermeasures in China

作　　者：易泽忠[1] 高阳[1] 刘学文[2] 石畅[2] 郭时印[2] 

机构地区：[1]中南大学商学院,湖南长沙410083 [2]湖南农业大学食品科技学院,湖南长沙410128

出　　处：《农业现代化研究》2012年第4期425-429,共5页Research of Agricultural Modernization

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"我国生猪价格调控政策绩效评价及调控机制改进研究"(编号:11BGL058))

摘　　要：运用风险管理理论,对我国生猪市场风险的特征、危害、控制等问题进行探讨。分析结果认为,周期性"、V"字型、关联性、短期不可逆性等是其主要特征。生猪市场风险的存在,影响生猪生产者收益的稳定性、农民收入增长、消费者的福利水平、畜牧业与国民经济的平稳发展。文章最后就如何控制生猪市场风险从加强宏观调控、建立完善生猪市场预警机制、加快推进"生猪期货"市场发展等方面提出了政策建议。The article discusses the identification, characteristics, harm, control and other issues of the market risks of live pigs by using risk management theory. The characteristics mainly include periodicity,＂V＂ pattern, correlation, short-term irreversibility and so on. The existence of market risks of live pigs affect the earnings stability of live pig producers, the income growth of farmers, the welfare level of consumers, the stable development of animal husbandry and national economy. In the end, the policy that could be used to control the pig market risks is suggested how to strengthen macro-control, how to build an scientific alarm system of pig market risks, how to accelerate the development of live pig futures market.

关 键 词：生猪 市场风险 特征 宏观调控 市场预警机制 生猪期货 

分 类 号：F326.3[经济管理—产业经济]