基于马尔可夫过程的武器系统相关失效分析  

Analysis of Weapon Systems Subject to Correlative Cause Failures Based on Markov Process

作　　者：张振友[1] 郭强[1] 黄立坡[1] 杨岐子[1] 

机构地区：[1]防空兵指挥学院,郑州450052

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2012年第7期117-119,共3页Fire Control & Command Control

摘　　要：利用马尔可夫过程分别对共因失效和载荷共享失效两种相关失效的系统平均失效时间进行了建模分析。针对同时出现两种相关失效的武器系统进行了实例分析,并将结果和不考虑相关失效时的计算结果进行了对比,对相关失效分析在可靠性分析和评价中的重要作用进行了阐述。The mean time to failure of weapon systems subject to common cause failures and load share cause failures is analyzed based on Markov process, the weapon systems in which common cause failures and load share？ cause failures at the same time is analyzed. The result is compared with that without considering correlative cause failures. The results show that the Analysis of Weapon systems subject to correlative cause failures is very important.

关 键 词：共因失效 载荷共享失效 可靠性 马尔可夫过程 

分 类 号：TB114.3[理学—概率论与数理统计]