金融发展对经济增长影响的实证分析——以多民族集聚地区云南省为例  

Empirical Analysis on the Impact of Financial Development on Economic Growth: The Case of Yunnan Province as a Multi-ethnic Region

作　　者：蔡云[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]贵州教育厅马克思主义经济学发展与应用研究中心,贵州贵阳550025 [2]贵州大学经济学院,贵州贵阳550025

出　　处：《上海立信会计学院学报》2012年第3期87-94,共8页Journal of Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce

基　　金：贵州大学"211工程"三期重点学科建设项目民族区域发展学学科建设招标项目(211BMZQ07);贵州省教育厅高等学校人文社会科学研究基地马克思主义经济学发展与应用研究中心课题(201002)

摘　　要：金融发展与经济增长之间的关系,一直存在着争议,通过采用计量经济学的相关方法,对多民族聚居地区云南省金融发展与经济增长数据进行ADF平稳性检验、协整检验,得出云南省金融发展与经济增长存在长期均衡关系,通过OLS回归测算出经济增长与金融发展的具体模型,发现云南省金融发展对经济增长具有促进作用,格兰杰非因果性检验表明云南省金融发展是经济增长变化的格兰杰原因,最后得出结论并提出相关政策建议。There is constant dispute on the relation between the financial development and economic growth. By adopting the method of econometrics, the paper tests the smoothness of data of financial devel- opment and economic growth in Yunnan Province as a multi-ethnic region through ADF, co-integration test. The result shows that there is a long-term balanced relation between financial development and eco- nomic growth in Yunnan Province. Through establishing the concrete models of economic growth and finan- cial development by OLS method, we find that financial development of Yunnan Province promotes its eco- nomic growth. Granger causality test indicates that the financial development is the Granger factor of the changing of economic growth. Finally, the paper draws a conclusion and proposes the relevant policy recommendations.

关 键 词：协整检验 金融发展 经济增长 格兰杰因果性检验 宏观经济 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]