流感传播的统计力学效应模拟分析  

作　　者：李颖[1] 

机构地区：[1]宁夏医科大学管理学院,宁夏银川750004

出　　处：《中国卫生产业》2012年第18期23-24,共2页China Health Industry

摘　　要：目的为了解流感的传播的统计力学机制。方法我们分析了各地流感监测资料,建立了流感传播的统计力学理论及相应的文字模式,并运用该模式对流感传播的立体空间和强度进行了数值讨论。结果本文提出流感传播过程中,该病的发生发展以及传播在统计力学中的三维立体空间上下、左右、前后模拟大量微子宏观运动规律,流感在传播过程中起传播速度和强度具有明显的力学分布特征。结论该理论和模型很可能适用于流感的流行以及其它的传染性疾病,有可能被进一步应用到现实生活中。Objective To understand the spread of influenza statistical mechanics.Methods we analyzed all influenza surveillance data,to establish a spread of the statistical mechanics theory and the corresponding text mode,and apply the model to the spread of the three-dimensional space and strength to carry out the numerical discussion.Results The results presented in this paper the flu spreading process,the incidence of the disease development and dissemination in statistical mechanics in the three-dimensional space,left and right,and under the simulation of a large number of neutrino macroscopic motion,influenza in the propagation process of propagation speed and intensity has obvious mechanical distribution characteristic.Conclusion the theory and the model may be applicable to the flu and other infectious diseases,there may be further applied to real life.

关 键 词：流感 传播 统计力学 

分 类 号：N941[自然科学总论—系统科学] O225[理学—运筹学与控制论]