基于集对理论的煤与瓦斯突出预测研究  

Study on Prediction of Coal and Gas Outburst Base on Set Pair Theory

作　　者：刘永杰[1] 李忠辉[1] 何淼[1] 陆智斐[1] 杨玉龙[1] 苏飞[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学安全工程学院,江苏徐州221008

出　　处：《煤炭工程》2012年第8期91-94,共4页Coal Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学青年基金项目(40904028);全国博士学位论文作者专项资金资助项目(201055);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-10-0768);江苏省"333高层次人才培养工程"([2011]Ⅲ-2002);中国矿业大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(JY111232)

摘　　要：文章以集对理论为基础,结合相似数确定权重的方法,建立了煤与瓦斯突出预测模型。选取了钻屑量、瓦斯涌出初速度、解吸强度、电磁辐射强度和电磁辐射脉冲5种预测指标,运用相似权法确定了各预测指标的权重。利用该模型对掘进工作面突出危险性进行了预测,评价结果符合现场实际情况,表明该方法具有较强的可靠性和实用性,为煤与瓦斯突出预测提供一种新的方法,对煤矿的安全生产具有重要的指导意义。Base on the set pair theory, in combination with the similar figure set weight method, a prediction model of the coal and gas outburst was established. There were five predicted indexes selected as the drillings value, the gas initial emission speed, the desorption strength, the electromagnetic radiation strength and electromagnetic radiation pulse. The similar weight method was applied to determine the weight of each predicted index. The model was applied to predict the outburst danger of the gateway driving face. The evaluation results could meet the site actual conditions and showed the strong reliability and practicability of the method. Thus a new method could provide to the prediction of the coal and gas outburst and could have the important guidance to the mine safety production.

关 键 词：集对理论 煤与瓦斯突出 相似数 电磁辐射 预测指标 

分 类 号：TD712.5[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]