致力于“防患于未然”的仿真  

Simulation of “Nip in the bud”

作　　者：徐庚保[1] 曾莲芝[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京航天自动控制研究所,北京100854 [2]北京控制与电子技术研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《计算机仿真》2012年第8期6-11,16,共7页Computer Simulation

摘　　要：自然灾害、飞机失事、车祸、沉船、矿难、大范围停电、网络病毒入侵、瘟疫流行、食物中毒、看病碰到误诊、安全事故等,诸如此类的意外事故,数不胜数,迫切需要防患于未然。目前,地震预报尚属于世界性难题,其它绝大部分,通过仿真研究都可以找到防患于未然的办法。由于篇幅限制,不能一一详述,只能择其主要者加以论述,诸如矿难预警、对来往车辆进行监视、飞机防碰撞、电网安全、网络安全风险评估、故障诊断、预警雷达、防火、滑坡计算智能仿真系统、传染病传播数学模型、降低误诊率等项目,均是著名的仿真硕果。诸如此类的仿真硕果无不反复表明,致力于"防患于未然"的仿真,日益得到广泛关注。Nature disaster, aircraft accident, traffic accident, shipping accident, mine accident, large range blackout, network virus invading, the plague epidemic, food poisoning, diagnostic error, safety accident and so on, such unexpected accidents are beyond count, therefore, an urgent need is ＂nip in the bud＂. At present, seismic forecast is a difficult problem in the world. Others can find ways and means to take preventive measures. Because of limited space, the paper described main of them, such as, forecast of mine accident, traffic surveillance, aircraft collision avoidance, power grid security, network risk evaluation, fauh diagnosis, forecast radar, fire preventing, TGALSS, mathematical model of infectious disease propagating, misdiagnosis rate reducing. These items are all well- known simulation achievements. They repeatedly make known that simulation of ＂nip in the bud＂ has increasingly drawn wide -ranging attention.

关 键 词：灾难 预报 防患于未然 仿真 

分 类 号：TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]