基于部分战损情况下的导弹武器系统可用度分析  

Availability Analysis of Missile Weapon Systems Based on Partly Breakdown

作　　者：符拯[1] 杨继坤[2] 徐廷学[2] 董琪[2] 

机构地区：[1]海军驻航天三院军事代表室,北京100074 [2]海军航空工程学院,山东烟台264001

出　　处：《战术导弹技术》2012年第4期26-29,共4页Tactical Missile Technology

摘　　要：对复杂战场条件的导弹武器系统可用度评估进行了研究。假定部件的寿命服从指数分布,修理时间和保障延误时间均服从任意分布,并且修理设备服务期服从指数分布,其更换时间服从任意分布的情况下,利用马尔可夫更新过程理论和拉普拉斯变换工具,建立了考虑技术阵地设备部分战损情况下和具有保障延误的串联可修导弹武器系统可用度模型,并进行了验证。算例结果与前期仿真结果吻合,验证了模型的可行性,为非马尔可夫型系统的可用度分析提供了有效的方法。The availability assessment of missile weapon systems in complicated battlefield conditions is proposed. Assuming that the systems unit＇ s life has exponential distribution, the repair time and the delay time both have arbitrary distributions, and the repair facility＇ s life has exponential distribution and its repair time has arbitrary distribution, the availability model of missile weapon systems considering repair facility breakdown, delay time and series repairable is established by using Markov renewal process theory and the tool of the laplace transform, and a demonstration application is ample result is approach to the simulation result. It examined the model conducted. The calculating expossibility and valid methods for availability analysis to non-Markov system.

关 键 词：导弹武器系统 可用度 马尔可夫更新过程 

分 类 号：TJ760.1[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]