收入效应、价格效应与服务业就业增长--基于状态空间模型的动态估计  

Income Effect,Price Effect and Service Industry's Employment Growth——Based on the Dynamic Estimation of State Space Model

作　　者：张颖熙[1] 夏杰长[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院财经战略研究院

出　　处：《中国社会科学院研究生院学报》2012年第4期18-27,共10页Journal of Graduate School of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目《中国现代服务业发展战略研究》(项目号:08&ZD041);中国社会科学院创新工程项目《中国中长期服务经济发展战略研究》的阶段成果

摘　　要：从服务业整体上看,收入需求富于弹性与劳动生产率相对滞后是促进服务业就业增长的主要因素;从服务业内部行业看,以批发零售贸易和餐饮业为代表的传统服务业,其相对劳动生产率持续下降,价格效应由削弱效应变为正向增强效应,有力地带动了行业就业比重快速增长,而以房地产行业与金融保险业为代表的现代服务业极富价格弹性,价格效应是推动其就业份额提高的主导因素。From the whole service industry, its employment increase is promoted by its great elasticity of income demand and relatively lagged labor productivity; from the industries inside service industry, the traditional service industries, represented by wholesale and retail trade, as well as catering and hotel industry, the rapid growth of employment is caused by the continuous decrease of its relative labor productivity rate and the its gradually enhanced price effect. As for the modern service industry, such as real estate and finance, price effect is the main factor that promotes its employment proportion growth.

关 键 词：服务业 就业 收入效应 价格效应 劳动生产率 

分 类 号：F719[经济管理—产业经济]