中国二氧化碳排放差异及影响因素分析——基于工业分行业的实证分析  

Study on the Differences and Influencing Factors of Chinese Carbon Dioxide Emissions——Based on Industry Branches' Empirical Research

作　　者：李园[1] 张传平[1] 谢晓慧[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油大学,青岛266555

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2012年第8期39-45,共7页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(课题编号:R090629B)

摘　　要：本文利用改进的STIRPAT模型,采用面板固定效应进行回归分析,对中国工业39个分行业二氧化碳排放影响因素进行实证研究。分析结果显示:能源强度对节能减排具有巨大的促进作用;能源消费在所有因素中对二氧化碳排放量的影响最大;工业分行业的二氧化碳排放量存在显著的路径依赖现象;同时固定资产投资规模和产业结构也促使碳排放的增长。最后,文章提出了减少二氧化碳排放的相关政策和建议,以适应中国的节能减排以及低碳经济之路。Based on energy intensity,energy consumption,fixed investments,industrial structure and carbon dioxide emissions lagging behind a period,this paper used modified STIRPAT model and panel data to conduct regression analysis,focusing on empirical research on the influencing factors of carbon dioxide emissions discharged from Chinese 39 industrial branches.We came to the conclusion that energy intensity,industrial structure and energy consumption are the main factors to curb carbon dioxide＇s emission.Analysis showed that：energy intensity greatly contributed to energy conservation and emission reduction;energy consumption was the factor which influenced the carbon emission mostly;the carbon emission in industry field existed dramatic phenomenon of path dependence;at the same time,fixed investments and industrial structure could also lead to the increase of carbon emission.In the end,some relevant policies and advices are put forward to adjust to Chinese long road of energy conservation and low carbon economy.

关 键 词：中国工业行业 碳排放 能源强度 产业结构 STIRPAT模型 

分 类 号：F124.5[经济管理—世界经济]