经济发展对我国体育彩票业消费的动态效应——基于VAR模型和脉冲响应的实证检验  

Dynamic Effect of Economic Development on Sports Lottery Consumption——Based on Analysis of VAR and Impulse Response

作　　者：赵趱超[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学体育部,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《武汉体育学院学报》2012年第8期45-48,73,共5页Journal of Wuhan Sports University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(09CTY017)

摘　　要：结合我国1994-2010年相关数据,分析体育彩票业消费的总量和结构特征。建立经济发展与体育彩票消费的VAR模型,使用Eviews6.0软件,通过协整分析、格兰杰因果检验、误差修正模型和脉冲响应分析,研究经济发展与体育彩票消费的动态均衡关系。结果表明:经济发展与体育彩票消费存在正效应,经济产值每增加1%,体育彩票消费额增加2.363 7%。经济发展对体育彩票消费的影响是一个动态的滞后过程,长期效应较短期效应明显。Applying China＇ s 1994-2010 data, the paper studied quantity and structural features of sports lottery consumption. The methods used were VAR analysis, cointegration analysis, VECM and impulse response. The result of empirical analysis indicated that economic development had a positive effect on Sports Lottery Consumption. The Elasticity was 2.3637%. The impact of the economic development on the sports lottery Consumption was a dynamic process. Long-term effects were more obvious in short-term effects.

关 键 词：经济发展 体育彩票业 消费 动态效应 

分 类 号：G80-05[文化科学—运动人体科学]