韩美FTA对中国农产品出口韩国不会产生重大影响——与国内一些学者商榷  

Discussion with Domestic Scholars on the Idea that Korea-US FTA will not Bring Great Effects on Chinese Agriculture Export to Korea

作　　者：李明权[1] 

机构地区：[1]青岛农业大学经济与管理学院,山东青岛266109

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2012年第9期107-116,共10页International Economics and Trade Research

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(10YJCGJW003)

摘　　要：SPEARMAN相关系数和CAC指数测算结果表明,中美农产品对韩出口结构相似性低,仅在部分产品上存在竞争关系。结合韩美FTA农产品贸易规则、韩国农产品贸易政策等对中美两国具有竞争关系、且所占比重较大的50种农产品测算韩美FTA生效前后中美价格竞争力变化的结果表明,中国大部分农产品的价格优势并不会因韩美FTA生效而发生逆转,韩美FTA对中国农产品出口韩国的影响很有限。This paper uses SPEARMAN correlation coefficient and CAC index to examine the similarity and competitive relationship between Chinese and American agriculture exports to Korea, and estimates the change of Chinese and American price competitiveness before and after the FTA comes into effect, mainly focusing on the 51 agriculture products that have a competitive relationship and take a great share in trade. The results show that Chinese and American agriculture exports to Korea have little similarity, but only have a competitive relationship in several products. Even for those that have a competitive relationship, the price advantage of most of these Chinese agriculture products will not be affected by the enforcement of Korea-US FFA.

关 键 词：韩美FTA 农产品 中国 价格竞争力 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]