金融发展、交通设施与居民消费——基于半参数可加模型的实证分析  

Financial Development,Transport Facilities and Household Consumption-Findings from Additive Semi-Parametric Model

作　　者：李坤明[1] 方丽婷[1] 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《贵州财经学院学报》2012年第5期9-16,共8页Journal of Guizhou College of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金项目"非参数空间计量经济模型及应用研究"(10CTJ002);中央高校基本科研业务经费项目"动态时变特征的空间计量模型及其在中国地方政府财税策略互动中的应用"(ZK1021)

摘　　要：本文利用半参数可加模型实证分析了金融发展水平、交通设施条件与中国居民消费的关系,实证结果表明:(1)金融系统的规模扩张与居民消费存在显著的正向线性关系,而金融系统效率的改善对居民消费则主要表现为倒"U"型的非线性影响。(2)公共交通和道路设施条件与居民消费的线性关系不同,前者为正,而后者为负,但两者的非线性影响大体一致,均表现为"N"型趋势。并对如何提升居民消费水平提出了相应的政策建议。This paper analyzes the relationship between financial development; transport facilities and China＇ s household consumption using non-parametric model. Empirical results show that： （ 1 ） Expansion of the scale of financial system and household consumption has a significant positive linear relationship, and the nonlinear effect of efficiency improvement of financial system on household consumption has an inverted ＂U＂ shape. （2） The relationship between public transport and road facilities and household consumption are different, the former is positive, while the latter is negative. However , nonlinear effects of the above two are much the same and both have an ＂N＂ shape trend. Based on empirical results, this paper finally proposes some policy recommendations to raise the level of household consumption.

关 键 词：金融发展 交通设施 消费:半参数可加模型 

分 类 号：F063.2[经济管理—政治经济学]