制造品出口技术含量对制造品产出的促进作用——基于OECD国家与中国的面板数据  

Promotion Effect of the Manufacture Exports Technical Contents on Manufacture Outputs——Based on Panel Data of OECD Countries and China

作　　者：苏崇华[1] 朱彤[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院,天津300071

出　　处：《当代经济科学》2012年第5期15-22,124,共8页Modern Economic Science

摘　　要：本文使用OECD国家及中国1984-2010年的数据,计算得出样本国历年的制造品出口篮子技术含量(TCI)。在此基础上,对中国、日本及美国制造品TCI的发展趋势进行比较,发现中国制造品的TCI以比美国及日本更快的速率上升。本文经分析得出:制造品TCI对产出存在显著促进作用。而且,制造品TCI与人均GDP有正向联系,中国制造品TCI远超其人均GDP相应的TCI值。说明中国实施的着力发展高技术含量制造品生产与出口的产业政策保证了制造业产出的持续提高及整个经济的长期高速增长。Using the data of OECD countries and China through 1984-2010,this paper calculates the sample countries' technical contents(TCI) of manufactured exports baskets per year.On this basis,we compare the development trend of the TCI in China,Japan and United States and find that the TCI of the manufactured products in China grows at a faster rate than those of Japan and United States.We then find that the TCI of the manufactured products have significant and positive effect on manufactured outputs,and that the TCI of the manufactured products has a positive relationship with per capita GDP.The manufacture TCI in China is more than one corresponding to its per capita GDP.

关 键 词：制造品出口篮子技术含量 制造品产出 促进作用 中国制造品出口篮子技术含量的特点 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济] F752.67F224