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机构地区:[1]宁夏石嘴山市气象局,宁夏大武口753000 [2]宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,宁夏银川750002
出 处:《安徽农业科学》2012年第27期13508-13511,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
基 金:科技部农业科技成果转化资金项目(2006GB24160429);中国气象局气象新技术推广项目(CMATG2007M44)
摘 要:利用石嘴山市历年枸杞产量资料和气温、日照等常规气象资料,通过因子筛选,研究了气象因子与产量的关系,分析了各因子的生物学意义,构建了石嘴山市枸杞产量气象预报统计模型。根据该模型的相关气象因子分析,结合惠农区各地土质条件,农业生产情况,对枸杞生长与产量形成过程中与气象因子的关系加以分析,为农民种植枸杞提供帮助,为相关部门开展产量预测服务,为当地政府种植、收购与销售决策及农业结构调整提供依据。According to the yield data of L.barbarum and the meteorological data in Shizuishan,the relationships between yield and meteorological factors are analyzed using factors selection method of Person,Kendall and Spearman.By analyzing the meaning of each factor,a meteorological forecast model was established for the L.barbarum yield in Shizuishan.According to the analysis of models meteorological factors,as well as local soil quality and agricultural production conditions,the relationships of many factors with L.barbarum growth were analyzed.This work helps farmers to plant and manage in the field,and serve to local officers in yield prediction.It is very useful for them to make decisions in managing planting schedule,purchase and sell,as well as adjustment of agricultural structure.
分 类 号:S567.19[农业科学—中草药栽培]
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