中国居民合理膳食模式下的粮食供需平衡分析  

Study on Food Supply and Demand Balance Based on Chinese Rational Dietary Pattern

作　　者：唐华俊[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院,北京100081

出　　处：《农业经济问题》2012年第9期4-11,110,共8页Issues in Agricultural Economy

基　　金：国家重点基础研究发展计划("973"计划)项目(编号:2010CB951500);国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40930101);国际科技合作项目(编号:2010DFB10030)

摘　　要：本文全面分析了我国粮食安全发展状况、存在的主要问题以及国内外学者对我国粮食供需状况预测结果存在的差异,提出了从居民合理膳食模式出发预测我国2020年和2030年粮食供需平衡的新思路,针对当前我国居民食物消费不合理现状提出了确保我国粮食供需平衡和粮食安全的政策建议。In this paper,the status quo of-and the problems facing-China's national food security were analyzed.Estimates of future food supply and demand made by authors both from China and abroad were scrutinized.A novel method to predict food supply and demand in 2020 and 2030 was suggested.Policy options to ensure food security in China were formulated.

关 键 词：粮食安全 供需平衡 合理膳食结构 影响因素 预测分析 

分 类 号：F326.11[经济管理—产业经济]