中国大宗进口商品价格变化对CPI的影响——以粮食、原油和钢材为例  

Study on the Impact of Bulk Imports' Prices Change on the CPI in China:the Case of Grain,Crude Oil and Steel Products

作　　者：翟玉强[1] 

机构地区：[1]洛阳理工学院经济与工商管理系,河南洛阳471023

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2012年第9期58-62,共5页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：河南省软科学研究项目<粮食核心区粮农增收与经济增长协动机理与政策创新研究>(112400420032)

摘　　要：CPI是衡量通货膨胀水平的重要指标之一。随着经济的发展,中国对外贸易的依赖性逐步提高,若干资源性商品需求增长,大宗商品消费需求增长率有所提高,而近年来,中国大宗进口商品的价格不断提高,对CPI的变化产生了显著的影响。本文通过采用变量平稳性检验、格兰杰因果检验等方法对数据进行分析,研究了大宗进口商品的价格变化对CPI的影响情况,并提出了若干对策。CPI is one of the important indicators which measure the domestic inflation level. Along with economic development, dependence of China＇s foreign trade is increasing gradually. Due to the demand of a number of resources growing, the consumption demand of the bulk imports in growth has improving than ever before. In recent years, due to the continuously improving of the imported goods＂ prices in China, which had a significant impact on the CPI changes. Scientific methods such as the variable stationary characterization and Granger causality test were used to analysis the data that the author has collected in this paper. This article analyses the prices change of bulk imports and its impact on the CPI, then proposes a number of countermeasures.

关 键 词：大宗进口商品 商品价格 变化 CPI 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]