虚拟采办全寿命周期管理技术研究及应用  

Research and Application on SBA Life-cycle Management Technology

作　　者：王爱文[1,2] 曲慧杨[3] 周军华[3] 柴旭东[3] 

机构地区：[1]北京航空航天大学经济管理学院,北京100191 [2]中国航天科工集团公司,北京100048 [3]北京仿真中心,北京100854

出　　处：《系统仿真学报》2012年第10期2126-2130,共5页Journal of System Simulation

摘　　要：复杂武器装备的虚拟采办是实现人员/组织、管理、技术协同工作的系统工程,其全系统、全寿命周期的各项活动需要管理全方位的支持,针对虚拟采办全寿命周期管理技术开展研究,分析并建立虚拟采办风险评价指标体系,提出基于全寿命周期费用分解结构的费用估计方法,及利用网络图建模及蒙特卡罗仿真方法的全寿命周期进度预测方法。最后,结合某航天复杂装备虚拟采办应用背景,对所提出的管理技术进行应用验证。SBA of complex weapon is a system engineering, which includes collaboration of personnel/ organization, management and technology. All the activities involved equipment system and of the life-cycle require the support of comprehensive management. Research on management of SBA life-cycle was introduced. An evaluation indicator system was given with the analysis of SBA risk. Based on cost breakdown structure （CBS）, a method of cost estimation was proposed. Moreover, a schedule prediction method using arrow diagramming method （ADM） and Monte-Carlo simulation was provided. Finally, with the application on SBA of one aircraft, the methods were demonstrated.

关 键 词：虚拟采办 全寿命周期 风险 费用 进度管理 

分 类 号：TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]