财政支出的服务业就业与增长效应再研究  

Research on Effects of Fiscal Expenditure to Employment and Growth of Service Industry

作　　者：陈立泰[1,2] 王鹏[3] 

机构地区：[1]重庆大学公共管理学院,重庆400044 [2]重庆大学人口资源环境经济与管理研究中心,重庆400044 [3]重庆大学经济与工商管理学院,重庆400044

出　　处：《西北人口》2012年第5期41-45,52,共6页Northwest Population Journal

基　　金：国家社科基金项目"西部地区服务业集聚与城镇化互动发展研究"(编号:11XJL009)

摘　　要：建立面板数据模型,用中国28个省市1990—2010年的数据,检验了财政支出对服务业就业和增长的影响。结果显示,从规模上看,财政支出对服务业就业和增长具有正向效应,地方支出的作用弹性大于中央支出。从结构上看,中央支出对服务业就业具有一定挤出效应,与服务业增长具有微弱的正向关系,地方支出在就业和增长两方面都有促进作用。但是,地方财政社会保障类支出缺陷,对服务业就业和增长产生负面影响。为调整产业结构适应产业转移新形势,加快区域经济发展,中央财政应增加社会保障和跨区域协调建设支出;相关地区应根据实际情况扶持适宜的服务业,来增加就业促进增长,推动区域产业结构升级。Based on the data from 1990 to 2010 from 28 provinces of China, this paper uses Panel Data Model to detect the fiscal expenditure effect to employment and growth of services sectors. From the scale perspective, the result tells that fiscal expenditure has positive effect to services development, and the effect of local expenditure is larger than that of central ex- penditure. From the structural view, central expenditure limits the increase in employment, but has weak positive relationship with growth, and local spending promotes the employment and growth. Because of the defects in expenditure on local social security, employment and growth of services sectors are influenced. In order to adjust the industrial structure and accelerate regional economic development according to the new situation of industry transfer, the central government should increase their social security spending and cross regional coordinating construction, and related areas should develop suitable services, in order to increase employment and growth, and promote the regional upgrading of industrial structure.

关 键 词：服务业就业 服务业增长 财政支出 

分 类 号：F812.45[经济管理—财政学]