零售产业FDI行业内效应研究:溢出还是挤出?——基于我国省级面板数据的经验证据  

Intra-industry Effect of FDI on Retail Industry: Spillover or Crowd-out?——Empirical Evidence Based on Chinese Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：魏修建[1] 张丽淑[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《商业经济与管理》2012年第9期5-11,共7页Journal of Business Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(08XJY036)

摘　　要：在商贸流通业FDI效应研究相对薄弱的背景下,文章以一般性FDI行业内溢出效应理论框架为基石,并结合零售产业特质,提出了关于我国零售产业FDI行业内效应的四个理论假说,进而采用1999-2010年我国省级区域面板数据对假说进行了经验实证。研究结果表明:(1)零售产业FDI行业内效应在我国区域之间呈现了明显的异质性,"溢出"与"挤出"并存,且区域分布呈现明显的规律性;(2)高"质"的FDI所带来的溢出效应显著于依靠FDI"量"的集聚所产生的溢出效应,且"适量"的FDI参与程度是"溢出"效应产生的重要前提;(3)FDI规制政策变革,以及由此引发的竞争环境变化等对本土零售企业绩效产生了显著影响。文中提出的四个假说均被证实。In the context of relatively weak research on FDI effects of commercial and circulation industry, considering the characteristics of retail industry, and based on general FDI spillover theory, this paper puts forward four theoretical hypotheses about the intra-industry effects of FDI on retail industry. Employing 1999-2009 panel data of Chinese provincial areas, this paper empirically tests these hypotheses. The result shows that ： （ 1 ） the intra-industry effects of FDI on retail industry present a significant heterogeneity between different regions. Both ＂ spillover＂ and ＂ crowding-out＂ are found, and the regional distribution shows apparent regularity; （2） high ＂ quality＂ FDI has more spillover than high ＂ quantity＂ FDI. Moderate FDI is the important prerequisite of ＂spillover effect＂ ; （3） the changes of FDI regulations, policies and the competitive environment have significant impact on domestic retailers＇ performance. The four theoretical hypotheses are confirmed.

关 键 词：零售产业 FDI 溢出效应 挤出效应 

分 类 号：F724.2[经济管理—产业经济]