省属国有企业投资项目风险预警指标体系构建——以云南为例  

Construction of the Project-risk Early-warning Index System for State-owned Enterprise's Investment in Yunnan Province

作　　者：段万春[1] 杨训兵[1] 许成磊[1] 

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学管理与经济学院,云南昆明650093

出　　处：《云南师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2012年第5期113-118,共6页Journal of Yunnan Normal University：Humanities and Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学专项基金项目(71140016)阶段性成果;云南省厅级人文社科项目(KKSY201108011)阶段性成果

摘　　要：省属国有企业投资项目风险预警指标体系的构建,对实现省属国有企业项目风险管控意义重大。文中结合云南省属国有企业投资项目风险的实际问题,构建了基于因子分析法和德尔菲法的云南省属国有企业投资项目关键指标识别模型,并通过实证分析得到了省属国有企业股权与固定资产投资项目预警指标体系,分析了二者在研究样本中反映出的风险差异,为进一步实现省属国有企业投资项目风险预警管理提供了参考。With a consideration of the actual needs to construct the project-risk early-warning in- dex system for state-owned enterprise＇s investment in Yunnan Province, this paper proposes a key indicator recognition model based on the factor analysis method and the Delphi method for the provincial investment projects. Through an empirical analysis, this paper has obtained the equity and fixed asset investment project warning index system for state-owned enterprises in Yunnan Province, as well as the risk differences reflected in the research samples, which has some reference significance for further risk-management study in such enterprises in Yunnan Province.

关 键 词：风险预警 指标体系 因子分析 德尔菲法 

分 类 号：C935[经济管理—管理学]