基于多元回归法和灰色预测模型的江西丰城工业园融资需求预测分析  

Based on multiple regression method and grey forecasting mode's Jianxi Fengcheng industrial park financial requirement prediction analysis

作　　者：孙伟[1] 林芳琦 

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学,天津300300 [2]丰城工业园管委会财务统计部,江西丰成331100

出　　处：《特区经济》2012年第9期177-179,共3页Special Zone Economy

摘　　要：为了研究丰城市工业园区2012～2016年工业资金需求水平,笔者运用柯布一道格拉斯生产函数,以2005～2011年的工业增加值、就业人数和固定资产投资额为基本数据,在SPSS中运用多元回归法建立预测模型;再通过GM2008年灰色预测系统,运用灰色预测模型对工业增加值和就业人数进行预测,并进一步预测2012～2016年的资金需求和提出具有可行性的政策建议。In order to research the industrial capital requirement of Fengcheng industrial park from 2012 to 2016,the author use Cobb-Douglas Production Function,with industrial added value,employment and fixed asset investment from 2005 to 2011 as the basic data,using multiple regression in SPSS to establish the forecasting model.Then through the Grey Forecasting System 2008,we use the Grey Forecasting Model to forecast the industrial added value and employment,and further forecast the financial needs from 2012 to 2016 and feasibility put forward some policy suggestions.

关 键 词：资金需求 灰色预测模型 多元回归法 工业园区 

分 类 号：F427[经济管理—产业经济]