基于模糊二级评判模型的水资源承载力分析  

Water Resource Bearing Capacity Evaluation Based on Fuzzy Two Classes Analysis Method

作　　者：张君[1] 魏素洁[1] 胡剑[1] 秦大庸[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环国家重点实验室,北京100038

出　　处：《人民黄河》2012年第9期63-65,共3页Yellow River

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"创新群体研究基金"资助项目(51021006)

摘　　要：将模糊二级综合评判模型应用于水资源承载力评价研究中,选取人均水资源量、地表水开发率、节水灌溉率、万元产值需水量等14个指标,对泰安市现状年和考虑调水后的水资源承载力进行了分析计算。结果表明:泰安市现状承载力评分为0.527,水资源承载力情况较好,调水后为0.548,且开发量明显增多,说明调水方案可有效改善区域性水资源短缺状况。Fuzzy two-class comprehensive evaluation model was used in water resources bearing capacity evaluation. With 14 parameters selected including per capita water resources, exploit rate of surface water, water saving irrigation ratio, water requirement from ten thousands Yuan output value and so on. The water resources bearing capacity of Taian City in current year and after adding new water resources were calculated respectively. The results show that the score of current water capacity in Taian City is 0. 527, which indicates the local water capacity isn＇t bad ; the score after water transfer is 0. 548, and the rate of the development amount in available water quantity will rise apparently, which can help relieving regional water shortage.

关 键 词：水资源承载力 模糊数学 二级评判 引黄济泰 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]