1981年—2010年青海省产业结构演进的偏离份额分析  

Shift-share Analysis of Industrial Structure Evolution in Qinghai from 1981 to 2010

作　　者：曹颖轶[1] 金光盛[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北民族大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730030

出　　处：《西北民族大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2012年第5期174-180,共7页Journal of Northwest Minzu University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"西部地区经济空间结构优化与协调发展研究"(12BJL072);中央高校基本业务费专项资金项目"西北民族地区承接产业选择及对策研究"(ZYZ2011019)

摘　　要：改革开放以来,民族地区经济平稳快速增长,为了更好地说明民族地区经济增长的动力,文中研究自改革开放以来青海产业结构的演进过程,以其三大产业的生产总值作为基本数据,将青海产业结构演进过程分为3个阶段,即1981年-1990年,1991年-2000年和2001年-2010年。通过偏离份额模型进行计算,分析青海产业结构在演进过程中三大产业的结构优势和产业竞争力的问题。分析结果表明,青海这30年来产业结构不断地优化和提升,是青海整体经济实力明显提高的动力。Ever since the implementation of the reforming and opening-up policy, the economy in ethnic regions has been increasing both steadily and swiftly. In order to offer a better explanation of the drive force for the economic increase in ethnic regions, the article studies the evolution process of industrial structure in Qinghai since the implementation of the reforming and opening-up policy. Based on the fundamental data of gross production of the three industries, the article divides the very evolution process into 3 phases： 1981- 1990, 1991-2000, 2001-2010. By using shift-share model, the article analyzes the structure advantages of the threes industries in the evolution of industrial structure and issue of industrial competitiveness. The findings show that in these past 30 years the industrial structure is optimizing and improving, and this is the driving force for the apparent improvement of general economic power in Qinghai

关 键 词：青海 产业结构 演进 偏离份额模型 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]