贵州省金融发展对经济增长贡献的实证分析  

Empirical Analysis on the Economic Growth Factor Contributed by Financial Development in Guizhou Province

作　　者：蔡云[1] 李逸群[1] 

机构地区：[1]贵州大学经济学院,贵阳550025

出　　处：《中南民族大学学报（自然科学版）》2012年第3期115-120,共6页Journal of South-Central University for Nationalities：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：贵州大学人文社会科学基金资助(青年)项目(200893);贵州省社科基金青年课题资助项目(09GHQN018)

摘　　要：在对相关理论和文献进行回顾的基础上,根据贵州省金融和经济的发展历程和现状,采用计量经济学方法建立了具体测算金融发展与经济增长的OLS模型,通过ADF检验数据的平稳性.协整检验表明贵州省金融发展与经济增长存在长期均衡关系,Granger因果关系检验表明贵州省金融发展是经济增长变化的格兰杰原因,并提出相关政策建议.Through the review to the relevant theory and literature, according to the finance and economic development course and current situation of Guizhoa province, this paper adopts the econometric techniques to establish concrete OLS model to estimate the relation of economic growth and financial development, and test the smoothness of data by the ADF examination. Cointegration test shows that there is a long-term balanced relation between financial development and economic growth in Guizhou province. Results of Granger causality test indicate that financial development is the Granger cause of the change of economic growth in Guizhou province. And the relevant policy recommendations are proposed.

关 键 词：金融发展 经济增长 实证分析 

分 类 号：F123.16[经济管理—世界经济]