林农复合经营综合收益预测与分析——预测模型在河北林—粮间作中的应用  

Prediction and Analysis of Integrated Gain from Agro-forestry Management: Application of Prediction Model to Interplanting of Trees and Crops in Hebei

作　　者：齐岩[1] 吴保国[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学,北京100083 [2]北京林业大学

出　　处：《东北林业大学学报》2012年第10期152-155,共4页Journal of Northeast Forestry University

摘　　要：通过借鉴和发展Hartman木材与生态舒适性产出评价模型,研究将农业生产经营收益纳入森林经营收益核算体系中进而建立林农复合经营综合收益的预测和评价模型,选择了华北平原常用的林—粮间作的复合经营模式进行综合收益预测与分析,演示建立的综合收益预测模型的工作原理,为林农复合经营实践提供经营收益的预测结果,辅助经营决策的支持。A study was performed to establish a prediction model for integrated gain from agro-forestry management by incorpora- ting the gain from agricultural preduetion and management into the evaluation system for gain from forest management ac- cording to the developed Hartman Models of Timber and Amenity Production. The integrated gain from the interplanting of trees and crops in the North China Plain was predicted and analyzed. The working principle for the established mode/was given. The model can be used to predict the gain from agro-forestry management and provide auxiliary decision making support.

关 键 词：林农复合 综合收益预测与分析 决策支持 

分 类 号：F323.4[经济管理—产业经济]