基于灰色系统理论的我国木质产品产量预测模型的建立  

Prediction Model for Yield of Chinese Wood Products Based on Grey System Theory

作　　者：黄文学 刘凌[2] 闫争亮[3] 李梅泽[2] 泽桑梓[2] 

机构地区：[1]习水县林业局,习水564600 [2]云南省林业科学院 [3]国家林业局云南珍稀濒特森林植物保护和繁育重点实验室/云南省森林植物培育与开发利用重点实验室

出　　处：《东北林业大学学报》2012年第10期156-158,共3页Journal of Northeast Forestry University

基　　金：林业公益行业科研专项(201004067);云南省政府专项(云财农[2008]240号);云南省应用基础研究面上项目(2010CD131)

摘　　要：利用灰色系统理论构建了我国包括木材、竹材、锯材和人造板在内的主要木质产品产量的预测模型,并对预测模型进行了检验,结果显示预测模型可直接用于预测我国在未来年份的木材、竹材、锯材和人造板产品的产量。A study was performed to establish a forecasting model for yield of wood products, including wood, bamboo, sawn timber and man-made board, by using the grey system theory. And the forecasting model was also tested. Result shows that the established model can be applied directly to the yield prediction of wood, bamboo, sawn timber and man-made board in China in the following years.

关 键 词：木质产品 产量 预测模型 灰色系统 

分 类 号：S758[农业科学—森林经理学]