旅游产业结构优化对区域旅游经济增长贡献的演变  

On the Evolution of the Optimization of Tourism Industrial Structure to the Contribution of Economic Growth of Regional Tourism

作　　者：生延超[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]湖南商学院旅游管理学院,湖南长沙410205 [2]湖南区域战略与规划研究基地,湖南长沙410205

出　　处：《旅游学刊》2012年第10期11-19,共9页Tourism Tribune

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(12CJY091);国家社会科学基金重大项目(11&ZD144);湖南省社科基金项目(09YBB229)资助~~

摘　　要：旅游产业结构是影响区域旅游经济增长的关键因素,旅游产业结构优化是区域旅游经济发展质量和水平的重要标志。在构建多部门经济模型的基础上,利用1992～2008年数据测度出旅游产业结构变动对旅游经济增长的贡献。结果表明:1992～2008年期间,中国旅游产业结构变动对旅游经济增长的贡献比较大,平均为3.118%,相应地,占当年旅游经济增长率的比重为4.9529%;但在不同时期旅游产业结构变动对旅游经济增长的贡献不一样,可以分为两个中周期、六个短周期;虽然各个省份旅游产业结构变动对旅游经济增长贡献有差异,但各区域旅游产业结构变动对区域旅游经济增长的贡献在逐渐下降,旅游经济增长的稳定性越来越强。Tourism industrial structure is the key factor that affects economic growth of regional tourism. The optimization of tourism industrial structure is an important sign of the regional tourism quality and economic development level. Based on the building of a multi-sectoral economic model, we measure the contribution of the changes of tourism industrial structure to tourism economic growth by using the data from 1992 to 2008. The results show that the changes contributed more to economic growth in those years, with an average growth of 3. 188% and accounting for the 4. 9529% proportion of economic growth rate correspondingly. However, changes of tourism industrial structure in different periods contributed differently to tourism economic growth, which can be divided into two middle cycles and six short cycles. Though the contributions are gradually declining, the stability of tourism economic growth is getting stronger.

关 键 词：旅游产业 结构优化 旅游经济 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]