内蒙古包头市耕地资源人口承载力研究  

Research on Population Capacity of Cultivated Land Resources in Baotou of Inner Mongolia

作　　者：常立新[1] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古科技大学包头师范学院,内蒙古包头014030

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2012年第29期14515-14517,共3页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：内蒙古包头市科技局研究项目(2008R2002-6-2)

摘　　要：运用灰色系统模型和自然增长法对包头市的耕地资源人口承载力进行研究,预测得出2015年包头市温饱、小康、富裕型承载力分别为464.02万、360.91万、295.29万人,2020年分别为691.65万、537.95万、440.14万人,提出耕地与人口协调发展的途径。The population capacity of cultivated land resources in Baotou was studied by gray system model and the method of natural growth,it was predicted that the fairly comfortable,well-off and rich population was 4 640 200,3 609 100 and 2 952 900 in 2015 and 6 916 500,5 379 500 and 4 401 400 in 2020.Finally the paths to the coordinated development of cultivated lands and population were proposed.

关 键 词：耕地资源 人口承载力 保障途径 包头市 

分 类 号：S28[农业科学—农业水土工程]