物流产业发展与经济增长关系实证分析  

The Practical Analysis of the Relation between Logistic Industrial Development and Economic Growth

作　　者：赵立波[1] 

机构地区：[1]忻州师范学院,山西忻州034000

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2012年第10期41-45,共5页China Business and Market

摘　　要：物流产业与经济增长之间存在协整关系和双向格兰杰因果关系;经济增长对物流发展的冲击产生正响应,社会物流总费用的增加,短期内必然增加产品成本,而企业又无法消化,从而制约经济增长。因此,第一,短期内必须从各方面降低物流费用,促进经济更好发展。第二,加强交通基础设施建设。完善的交通设施和发达的交通运输网络,将从运输时间和运输效率方面提高全社会的物流效率,节约成本。第三,加快经济发展,促进物流产业健康快速发展。经济增长是促进物流发展的根本动力,没有经济的快速发展,物流产业的发展就无从谈起。There are the cointergration relation and two-way Granger Causality relation between logistic industry and economic growth; economic growth will positively response to the impact of logistics development; the increase of social logistic cost will definitely increase the cost of products in the short term, which will in turn constrain the economic growth. So, first, we should reduce the logistic cost in all aspects in the short term to promote the better development of economy. Second, we should strengthen the construction of transportation infrastructure. The perfect transportation infrastructure and advanced transportation network will improve social logistic efficiency and save cost. Third, we should accelerate economic development and promote the sound and rapid development of the logistic industry; economic growth is the fundamental forces for the improvement of logistic development; and without the rapid economic development, the logistic industry will not be developed.

关 键 词：物流产业:经济增长 脉冲响应函数 

分 类 号：F259[经济管理—国民经济]