中国民生性财政支出对城乡居民消费差距影响的实证研究--基于1995～2009年省级面板数据的协整分析  

Research on the Impact of Government Financial Expenditure for People's Livelihood on Household Consumption in the Social Transitional Period of China——An Cointegration Analysis Using Panel Data(1995 -2009) of Regions

作　　者：纪江明[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学国际与公共事务学院,上海市200030

出　　处：《经济与管理研究》2012年第10期13-23,共11页Research on Economics and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金“中国城镇居民消费行为研究”(70832001)

摘　　要：本文从中国城乡居民消费差距的公共财政支出入手,分析政府民生性财政支出对居民消费影响的传导机制,建立政府民生性财政支出对城乡居民消费支出影响的异质性面板协整模型,并基于面板误差修正模型(PVECM)考察短期动态调节效应。研究表明,中国民生性财政支出对城乡居民消费差距存在长期稳定协整关系,除了少数省份外,绝大多数省份增加教育财政支出、社会保障财政支出、支农支出,以及少数省份增加卫生财政支出,有助于缩小其城乡居民的消费差距。面板误差修正模型估计结果显示,在短期内政府民生性财政支出的增加,有助于显著缩小城乡居民消费支出差距,但这一效应存在明显的地区差异。Based on of analysis of the impact mechanism of government financial expenditure for people＇s livelihood on household consumption, the paper measures the Theil Index of urban - rural consumption disparity, and establishes Panel Cointegration Model to analysis the effect of government financial expenditure for people＇s livelihood on urban - rural consumption disparity using the panel data （1995 -2009） of four regions. The results show that there exists long -term stable cointegration relationship between government financial expenditure for people＇s livelihood and urban -rural consumption disparity （Theil Index） in the social transitional period of china; Central government and local governments increase the education expenditure and the social security expenditure respectively, can reduce urban - rural consumption disparity （Theil Index）. Estimated PVECM indicates the same results from a short- term perspective.

关 键 词：民生性财政支出 城乡居民消费差距 面板协整模型 

分 类 号：F222[经济管理—国民经济]