基于Mann-Kendall法的地震前兆观测数据异常分析  

The Abnormal Analysis of Seismic Data Based on the Method of Mann-Kendall

作　　者：陈振勋[1] 辛小龙[1] 贺瑞缠[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北大学数学系,陕西西安710127

出　　处：《西北地震学报》2012年第3期250-255,共6页Northwestern Seismological Journal

基　　金：西北大学数学系科研基金项目(2010)

摘　　要：应用Mann-Kendall法对1998年泾阳4.8级地震和2009年高陵4.4级地震某些指标数据序列进行异常分析。分析结果表明地震前兆观测数据的某些指标呈现出异常变化,应用此方法可以确定出突变的具体时间。本研究对地震预报预测有积极作用。Using the Mann-Kendall method, an abnormal analysis of some index data sequences collected from Jingyang Ms4.8 earthquake in 1998 and Gaoling Ms4.4 earthquake in 2009 is done. Analyse results show that some indexes of the precursory observation data of earthquake appeared abnormal change. Applying this method, the time of change-point can be identified. The works have impacted on earthquake forecast.

关 键 词：地震前兆数据 MANN-KENDALL法 突变点 泾阳地震 高陵地震 

分 类 号：P315.72[天文地球—地震学]