GDP核算口径下投入产出表调整与预测方法研究  

A Study of Methods for Updating and Forecasting IOTs Consistent with the GDP Accounting Caliber

作　　者：李宝瑜[1] 张靖[1] 

机构地区：[1]山西财经大学

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2012年第11期149-160,共12页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目"中国社会核算矩阵研究"(10ATJ001)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：我国公布的投入产出表与GDP核算两套数据存在脱节,主要表现为投入产出表的增加值与GDP不一致,投入产出表分配法增加值的分项值与GDP分项值不一致,投入产出表支出法分项值与GDP分项值不一致。本文重点研究了三种方法:如何将已公布投入产出表年度数据调整到与GDP核算口径一致的方法;如何推算两次已公布数据年度中间的未公布数据年度的投入产出表的方法;如何编制后续未公布数据年度的投入产出延长表的方法。本文采用这些方法,编制了与GDP口径相一致的中国1992～2010年8部门投入产出供给表和使用表。There is a disconnect issue of inputoutput table of China and GDP accounting data, mainly as there exist inconsistency on valueadded by sector be tween IOTs and accounting data, on distribution method added value between lOTs and accounting data, on spending method added value between IOTs and accounting data. This paper focuses on the three methods： First, the method how to adjust the data of IOTs published by the national bureau of statistics to GDP accounting cali ber. Second, the method how to calculate lOTs unpublished of the middle of year two published data. Third, the method how to compile InputOutput Extend Ta bles subsequent not released data annual. Then adopt these methods, compile sup ply and use tables of year from 1992 to 2010.

关 键 词：投入产出表GDP核算延长表 

分 类 号：F223[经济管理—国民经济]