Mortality Prognostics during First 24 Hours Due to Cerebral Stroke among Adult Population of Rostov-on-Don  

作　　者：Vazgen Martirosyan Julia Krupskaya 

机构地区：[1]Department of Nervous Diseases and Neurosurgery, Rostov State Medical University, Rostov-on-Don 344000, Russia

出　　处：《Journal of Earth Science and Engineering》2012年第6期337-343,共7页地球科学与工程（英文版）

摘　　要：In the present research, the model of mortality prognostics during the first 24 hours due to ACA （acute cerebrovascular accident） was developed. Eleven characteristics, developed by logistic regression method, were offered. The present model allows to predict the result ＂died/survived＂ for every adult patient with cerebral stroke, who was delivered to hospital to choose individual approach. And in such way, it raised the effectiveness of treatment and lowered the frequency of fatal case. External causes among solar, geomagnetic and meteorological were defined, which reflected the varied impact of environment and raised of fatal case probability during the first 24 hours.

关 键 词：Cerebral stroke logistic regression PROGNOSTICS solar activity. 

分 类 号：X510.31[环境科学与工程—环境工程] TH17[机械工程—机械制造及自动化]