中国亚热带南岭山地气候变化特点及趋势  

Characteristics and trends of climate change of Chinese subtropical Nanling Mountain

作　　者：段辉良[1] 曹福祥[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南林业科技大学,湖南长沙410004

出　　处：《中南林业科技大学学报》2012年第9期110-113,共4页Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology

基　　金：林业公益性行业科研专项(200804001)

摘　　要：使用RegCM-Miroc预估数据,采用线性倾向估计法,对南岭山地2030～2050年的年均降水、年平均气温、7月平均气温进行分析。结果表明:降水呈逐年增加的趋势,但增幅相对1980～2010年明显减少;气温的较快升高,增幅相对1980～2010年明显增加。By using RegCM-Miroc approximate data,and adopting linear trend estimation method,the average annual precipitation,annual average temperature,average temperature of July in 2030~2050 of Nanling mountain were forecasted.The results show that the precipitation will take a rising trend,but the increase amplitude predicted will significantly reduced than the factual increase amplitude in 1980~2010;the temperature will relatively soon increase,the increase amplitude predicted will significantly arise relative to the factual increase amplitude in 1980~2010.

关 键 词：山地气候模型 南岭山地 气候变化 

分 类 号：S718.5[农业科学—林学]