中国东盟自由贸易区进程化对双边贸易的影响  

Effect of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area Processes on Bilateral Trade

作　　者：解春艳[1] 朱红根[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西农业大学经济管理学院,南昌330045

出　　处：《西北农林科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2012年第6期105-111,共7页Journal of Northwest A&F University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(70963005);国家社科基金(09BJY067);教育部人文社科基金(09YJC790128);教育部人文社科基金(10YJC790119)

摘　　要：从中国与东盟贸易的现状出发,基于2000-2009年中国与东盟双边贸易流量的面板数据,运用扩展的引力模型,实证分析了中国-东盟自由贸易区进程化对双边贸易的影响,结果显示:中国—东盟自由贸易区进程化对双边贸易有显著地促进作用,另外,经济规模、人口数量、科学技术水平、文化距离、优惠贸易区对双边贸易有显著正向影响,而地理距离、共同边界有显著负影响。Based on the panel data of bilateral trade between China and ASEAN from 2000--2009 and combi ning with the current trade situation of CAFTA, the extended gravity model is used to establish the empirical analy sis. Through construction and analysis of the model, the results show that the processing of CAFTA has significant ly promoted the bilateral trade. In addition,GDP,population, science and technology level, common culture and the Preferential Trade Area have positive effect on bilateral trade, while space distance and boundary havr negative effect

关 键 词：中国-东盟自由贸易区 进程化 双边贸易 引力模型 

分 类 号：F712[经济管理—产业经济]