铁路危险货物突发事故应急方案生成及其贝叶斯建模技术分析  

The emergency scheme generation for railway dangerous goods and its bayes modeling technology

作　　者：周鹏[1] 吴婧[1] 李偲偲[1] 王攀[1] 

机构地区：[1]兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《交通科技与经济》2012年第6期46-49,共4页Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications

摘　　要：随着全路危险货物应急管理工作不断深入开展,铁路危险货物突发事故应急管理缺乏规范标准的问题日益突出,而铁路危险货物在铁路货物运输中占有非常重要的地位。对铁路危险货物应急方案的生成进行分析,针对预案管理的各个环节,制定应急方案的生成流程,在此基础上,应用贝叶斯算法对应急方案生成流程进行建模,为进一步对应急方案生成流程进行分析、优化奠定基础。The lack of standards for emergency management has become an increasingly important issue be- cause the railway dangerous goods in railway freight transport plays a very important role. Analysis is made on the generation of emergency scheme and formulated the generation process for each link. Bayes algo- rithm is applied to the scheme generation modeling for the further analysis and optimrm of the process.

关 键 词：方案生成 铁路应急 铁路危险货物 贝叶斯算法 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]