粮食主产区农民种粮意愿的影响因素分析——基于湖南475家农户的调查数据  

Factors affecting farmers' willingness to grow grain in key grain-producing areas:Based on the investigation of 475 rural households of Hunan Province

作　　者：陈思羽[1] 曾福生[1] 刘辉[1] 许慧[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南农业大学经济学院,湖南长沙410128

出　　处：《湖南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2012年第5期29-35,共7页Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Sciences)

基　　金：湖南省社会科学基金(2010YBA119);教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(11YTC790105)

摘　　要：以粮食主产区湖南长沙县、岳阳县、邵阳县475个农户样本的调查数据为基础,从农民个人特征、农户家庭特征、粮食市场价格等角度选取15个变量,应用二元Logistic模型对农民种粮意愿的影响因素进行了分析。结果表明:性别、文化程度、种粮年限、种粮收益占家庭总收入比重、粮食价格、种粮目的、农业技术支持、水利设施完善程度对农民种粮意愿有显著的正向影响;农民身体健康水平、劳动力短缺程度、生产资料价格对农民种粮意愿有显著的负向影响;年龄、资金不足程度、粮食补贴占种粮投入比重、卖粮难易程度对农民种粮意愿没有显著影响。Based on the investigation data of 475 samples of rural households in key grain-producing areas of Changsha county, Yueyang county and Shaoyang county of Hunan province, selecting 15 variable quantities from the pespective of individual characteristics of the farmers, household features of rural households, marketing price of grain and so on, this paper analyzes the factors influencing rural households＇ willingness to grow grain by using Binary Logistic model.The results shows that： these factors including the proportion of the gender, the level of education, the years of grain growing ,and grain profits of the farmers in total household income; the prices of grain, the purpose of grain growing, the support of agricultural technic, the status of water conservancy facilities, positively impact on farmers＇ willingness to grow grain; while those factors including farmers＇ physical health, labor shortages, the price of production, negatively impact on farmers＇ willingness to grow grain; and those elements ,such as the age of farmers, capital adequacy, the proportion of food subsidies in the input of grain growing, the situation of grain selling do not greatly impact on farmers＇ willingness to grow grain.

关 键 词：农民 种粮意愿 影响因素 粮食主产区 湖南省 

分 类 号：F325.15[经济管理—产业经济]