河北省武安市生态人口承载力动态变化及其驱动力  

Dynamic Change of Population Carrying Capacity and Its Driving Forces in Wuan City of Hebei Province

作　　者：元利[1] 孙桂平[1,2] 闫妍[1] 李珊[1] 陈利东[1] 

机构地区：[1]河北师范大学资源与环境科学学院,河北石家庄050024 [2]河北省环境演变与生态建设实验室,河北石家庄050024

出　　处：《水土保持通报》2012年第5期37-40,70,共5页Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation

基　　金：河北省高校重点学科建设项目"自然地理学"

摘　　要：基于生态足迹理论,设计出了河北省武安市生态环境人口承载力评价指标体系。应用生态足迹模型对2000—2010年武安市生态环境人口承载力进行了研究,并通过SPSS软件对结果数据采用相关分析法和回归分析法,进行了可持续状态分析和驱动因素分析。研究表明,武安市2000—2007年生态足迹与生态承载力矛盾较为突出。2007年以后武安市加强转变经济增长方式,提高了对自然资源的利用率,使生态足迹和生态承载力之间的矛盾逐步缓和,开始向可持续的方向发展。该市人均化石燃料足迹强烈影响着可承载人口数量,是影响武安市生态承载人口动态变化的主要因素。An evaluation index system for the eco-environment population carrying capacity of Wuan City is designed based on ecological footprint theory.Ecological footprint model is applied to analyze the eco-environment population carrying capacity in 2000—2010.The sustainable development stature and driving factors are analyzed with the help of SPSS.Results show that the contradiction between ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity was more prominent in 2000—2007.After 2007,the contradiction was alleviated towards a sustainable development through the transformation of economic growth and the improved utilization of natural resources.The population carrying capacity was strongly influenced by the per capita fossil fuel footprint that is the main factor for the dynamic change of ecological carrying population in Wuan City.

关 键 词：人口承载力 生态足迹 河北省 武安市 

分 类 号：K901[历史地理—人文地理学]