电力系统短期负荷混沌预测法  

Short-term Load Chaos Forecast Method of Electric Power System

作　　者：刘冉冉[1] 冯平[1] 蔚洋[1] 

机构地区：[1]后勤工程学院,重庆401311

出　　处：《价值工程》2012年第32期104-105,共2页Value Engineering

摘　　要：电力系统短期负荷预测,在日常工作中具有十分重要的意义,它是保证电力系统的安全、经济运行的基础。文章简要对短期负荷预测的研究方法进行介绍,详细分析了混沌理论预测方法,包括相空间重构等主要思想。另外,选择合适的综合预测模型才是提高预测精度的主要方法。Short-term load forecasting of electric power system is significant in daily work. It is the basis to guarantee the power system safety and economic operation. This paper briefly introduces short-term load forecasting research methods, analyzes the chaos theory prediotion methods, including phase space reconstruction etc. In addition, choosing appropriate comprehensive prediction model is the main method to improve forecasting precision,

关 键 词：电力系统 短期负荷预测 混沌 

分 类 号：TM732[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]