经济增长背景下的土地财政与土地出让行为分析  

Analysis on the Land Finance and Land Conveyance in the Context of Economic Growth

作　　者：李学文[1] 卢新海[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《中国土地科学》2012年第8期42-47,共6页China Land Science

摘　　要：研究目的:对分税制后广泛存在于地方政府的土地财政和其与地方政府土地出让行为的相互关系进行研究,并分析地方政府差别化土地出让策略的原因。研究方法:理论分析、文献分析与面板向量自回归实证模型分析相结合。研究结果:协议出让土地价格和招拍挂土地出让价格之间体现了一种非对称的互动关系。协议出让土地价格对其自身的短期滞后响应比较明显,且作用为正,招拍挂土地出让价格对协议出让土地价格没有明显的滞后效应;而招拍挂土地出让价格却受到协议出让土地价格及其自身明显而持续的正向滞后影响。研究结论:地方政府之所以热衷于土地出让,并在工业用地和商住用地出让上采取差别化策略,根源在于地方政府对土地财政的追求,这也是当前中国以"经营土地"为特征的经济增长模式的根本源头。The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between land finance and land conveyance decisions of the local governments, and to analyze the reason why the local governments use different strategies. Research methods include ｜heorelical analysis, lilerature review and PVAR model. The resuhs indicate thai lhere is an asymmelrical relalionship between the price of the negotialion and the price of the bidding, auclion or lisling. The response of negoliati,m price was obviously lagged from itself, while the response of the prices of other conveyance patlerns was not obvious from the price of negotiation. It is concluded that the reason why the local governments are eager to transfer land and adopt different strategies is la pursue the ]and finance. It is the essence of economic growth patlern with the characteristic of ＂land management＂.

关 键 词：土地经济 土地出让 土地财政 差别化策略 面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型 

分 类 号：F301[经济管理—产业经济]